Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” a 3% chance of resolving YES. $1.00M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 16, 2026. A YES price of 3% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
24h volume
$1.00M
Open interest
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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" moved from 5% to 3% across 176 points. Current 3%. Data points: Jul 6: 5%, Jul 6: 5%, Jul 6: 5%, Jul 6: 5%, Jul 6: 5%, Jul 7: 5%, Jul 7: 5%, Jul 7: 5%, Jul 7: 5%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 7: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 9: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 3%, Jul 23: 3%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 23: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 4%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 24: 3%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 2%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 29: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 4%, Jul 30: 4%, Jul 30: 4%, Jul 30: 4%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 2%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 30: 3%, Jul 31: 3%, Jul 31: 3%, Now: 3%
The WeeBet Angle
the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting on Polymarket
3% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 3% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.