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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” a 8% chance of resolving YES, up 4 points over the past 24 hours. $800.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 30, 2026. A YES price of 8% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

up 4 points 24h

NO

92¢

24h volume

$800.6k

Open interest

YES price · last 10 days14% ─ 1%
Implied probability
8%
24h move
+4 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
8%

Priced at 8% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.

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FAQ

What are the odds of Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 8% probability of YES (up 4 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.