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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” a 17% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $1.09M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 15, 2026. A YES price of 17% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

17¢

up 2 points 24h

NO

83¢

24h volume

$1.09M

Open interest

YES price · today20% ─ 10%
Implied probability
17%
24h move
+2 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
17%

Priced at 17% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 17% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on June 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.