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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?” a 7% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $2.63M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 7, 2026. A YES price of 7% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

down 3 points 24h

NO

93¢

24h volume

$2.63M

Open interest

YES price · today11% ─ 3%
Implied probability
7%
24h move
-3 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
7%

Priced at 7% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 7% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on June 7, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.