Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” a 70% chance of resolving YES, up 4 points over the past 24 hours. $69.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 30, 2026. A YES price of 70% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
70¢
up 4 points 24h
NO
30¢
24h volume
$69.7k
Open interest
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Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" moved from 55% to 70% across 229 points. Current 70%. Data points: Jul 15: 55%, Jul 15: 56%, Jul 15: 56%, Jul 15: 56%, Jul 16: 55%, Jul 16: 56%, Jul 16: 56%, Jul 16: 56%, Jul 16: 55%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 68%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 69%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 71%, Aug 6: 70%, Aug 7: 71%, Aug 7: 71%, Aug 7: 71%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 69%, Aug 7: 69%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 69%, Aug 7: 70%, Aug 7: 69%, Aug 7: 66%, Aug 8: 69%, Aug 8: 69%, Aug 8: 69%, Aug 8: 68%, Aug 8: 67%, Aug 8: 67%, Aug 8: 67%, Aug 8: 69%, Aug 8: 69%, Aug 9: 69%, Aug 9: 69%, Aug 9: 66%, Aug 9: 66%, Aug 9: 68%, Aug 9: 68%, Aug 9: 68%, Aug 9: 68%, Aug 9: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 68%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 67%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 65%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 65%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 65%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 65%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 10: 65%, Aug 10: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 65%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 65%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 68%, Aug 11: 68%, Aug 11: 66%, Aug 11: 68%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 11: 67%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 67%, Aug 12: 68%, Aug 13: 70%, Aug 13: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 69%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 71%, Aug 14: 71%, Aug 14: 71%, Aug 14: 71%, Aug 14: 70%, Aug 14: 70%, Now: 70%
The WeeBet Angle
United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election on Polymarket
70% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 70% probability of YES (up 4 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.