Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
As of August 2026, Kalshi traders give “Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes” a 24% chance of resolving YES. $3.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 31, 2028. A YES price of 24% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Kalshi before trading.
YES
24¢
NO
75¢
24h volume
$3.6k
Open interest
$123.0k
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
KalshiYES probability for "Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes" moved from 42% to 24% across 29 points. Current 24%. Data points: Jul 27: 42%, Jul 28: 38%, Jul 28: 40%, Jul 29: 41%, Aug 4: 38%, Aug 8: 26%, Aug 9: 25%, Aug 9: 26%, Aug 9: 25%, Aug 9: 26%, Aug 9: 26%, Aug 10: 24%, Aug 10: 25%, Aug 10: 25%, Aug 10: 25%, Aug 10: 27%, Aug 11: 27%, Aug 12: 27%, Aug 15: 30%, Aug 16: 30%, Aug 17: 28%, Aug 17: 28%, Aug 20: 27%, Aug 21: 25%, Aug 21: 26%, Aug 22: 26%, Aug 23: 24%, Aug 24: 24%, Now: 24%
The WeeBet Angle
there be a recession in 2027? — Yes on Kalshi
24% — Thin market — noisy price.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes?
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Kalshi implies a 24% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes?
- This contract trades on Kalshi. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.