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US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

As of November 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?” a 4% chance of resolving YES. $775.1k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 4% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

4¢

NO

96¢

24h volume

$775.1k

Open interest

—

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?

Polymarket
as of Nov 3, 2026

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?" moved from 6% to 4% across 27 points. Current 4%. Data points: Nov 3: 6%, Nov 3: 13%, Nov 3: 12%, Nov 3: 8%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 6%, Nov 3: 6%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 4%, Nov 3: 7%, Nov 3: 10%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 0%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 2%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 3%, Nov 3: 4%, Nov 3: 1%, Nov 3: 4%, Nov 3: 4%, Now: 4%

The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3 on Polymarket

4% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

4%
Implied
$775.1k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3??
As of November 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 4% probability of YES.
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.