Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” a 6% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $77.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 10, 2026. A YES price of 6% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
6¢
down 1 point 24h
NO
94¢
24h volume
$77.5k
Open interest
—
Building full history — we're recording this market every 30 minutes. A 24-hour trend is shown for now.
The WeeBet Angle
Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 on Polymarket
6% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
Trade this market
WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.
Open on Polymarket →- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
More politics markets
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 6% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 10, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.