What are the odds of Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketPolitics

☆ Watch

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $120.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on April 1, 2027. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

1¢

99¢

24h volume

$120.3k

Open interest

—

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Polymarket

as of Oct 1, 2026

1%

−1 pts(24h)

−1 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" moved from 6% to 1% across 237 points. Current 1%. Data points: Sep 14: 6%, Sep 14: 6%, Sep 14: 6%, Sep 14: 4%, Sep 14: 4%, Sep 14: 4%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 3%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 14: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 2%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 4%, Sep 15: 5%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 5%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 4%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 16: 3%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 3%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 21: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Oct 1: 1%, Oct 1: 1%, Now: 1%

The WeeBet Angle

Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 on Polymarket

1% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$120.3k

Liquidity

−1pts

7-day momentum

Trade this market

WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.

Open on Polymarket →

Featured · Affiliate · Prediction

Kalshi4.7

Trade on the future

Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
No min deposit
Since 2021

Visit Kalshi Read full review →

Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.

More politics markets

Polymarket$66k

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%YES▬

resolves 26moTrade on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket$157k

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%YES▬

resolves 26moTrade on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket$78k

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%YES▬

resolves 26moTrade on Polymarket ↗

Polymarket$99k

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%YES▬

resolves 26moTrade on Polymarket ↗

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026??: As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

← The Odds Desk Latest prediction news →