Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” a 38% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $115.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 4, 2026. A YES price of 38% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
38¢
up 3 points 24h
NO
62¢
24h volume
$115.4k
Open interest
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Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?" moved from 52% to 38% across 245 points. Current 38%. Data points: Sep 13: 52%, Sep 13: 52%, Sep 13: 51%, Sep 13: 51%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 52%, Sep 13: 52%, Sep 13: 52%, Sep 13: 53%, Sep 13: 51%, Sep 13: 51%, Sep 13: 51%, Sep 13: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Sep 14: 50%, Oct 3: 37%, Oct 3: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 36%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 4: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 37%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 35%, Oct 5: 35%, Oct 5: 35%, Oct 5: 35%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 35%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 5: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 35%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 6: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 36%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 35%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 33%, Oct 7: 33%, Oct 7: 33%, Oct 7: 33%, Oct 7: 33%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 7: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 34%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 36%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 37%, Oct 9: 38%, Oct 9: 38%, Now: 38%
The WeeBet Angle
the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026 on Polymarket
38% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 38% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.