Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $83.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 4, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
1¢
NO
100¢
24h volume
$83.4k
Open interest
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Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" moved from 2% to 1% across 344 points. Current 1%. Data points: Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 4: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 1%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 5: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 3%, Aug 6: 3%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 3%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 6: 2%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 0%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 15: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 1%, Aug 16: 0%, Aug 16: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 1%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 17: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 1%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 18: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 0%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 19: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 0%, Aug 24: 0%, Aug 24: 0%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 24: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Aug 25: 1%, Now: 1%
The WeeBet Angle
Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on Polymarket
1% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.