Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” a 59% chance of resolving YES, up 2 points over the past 24 hours. $123.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 4, 2026. A YES price of 59% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
59¢
up 2 points 24h
NO
41¢
24h volume
$123.3k
Open interest
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" moved from 34% to 59% across 882 points. Current 59%. Data points: Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 33%, Aug 22: 33%, Aug 22: 33%, Aug 22: 33%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 22: 34%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 24: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 25: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 26: 35%, Aug 27: 36%, Aug 27: 36%, Aug 27: 36%, Aug 27: 36%, Aug 27: 35%, 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The WeeBet Angle
Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on Polymarket
59% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 59% probability of YES (up 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.