What are the odds of Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 3% probability of YES.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketPolitics

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Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” a 3% chance of resolving YES. $242.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 4, 2026. A YES price of 3% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

3¢

97¢

24h volume

$242.2k

Open interest

—

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

as of Aug 24, 2026

3%

−1 pts(24h)

−1 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" moved from 7% to 3% across 746 points. Current 3%. Data points: Aug 1: 7%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 7%, Aug 1: 7%, Aug 1: 9%, Aug 1: 8%, Aug 1: 9%, Aug 1: 9%, Aug 1: 7%, Aug 1: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 7%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 2: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 3: 8%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 8%, Aug 4: 8%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 7%, Aug 4: 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Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 3%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 4%, Aug 23: 5%, Aug 24: 5%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 3%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 3%, Aug 24: 3%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 3%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 4%, Aug 24: 3%, Now: 3%

The WeeBet Angle

Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on Polymarket

3% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$242.2k

Liquidity

−1pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 3% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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