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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?” a 89% chance of resolving YES, down 6 points over the past 24 hours. $720.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 23, 2026. A YES price of 89% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

89¢

down 6 points 24h

NO

11¢

24h volume

$720.3k

Open interest

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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Polymarket
as of Oct 20, 2026

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?" moved from 89% to 89% across 92 points. Current 89%. Data points: Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 89%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 90%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 92%, Oct 17: 93%, Oct 17: 93%, Oct 18: 93%, Oct 18: 92%, Oct 18: 93%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 93%, Oct 18: 93%, Oct 18: 94%, Oct 18: 95%, Oct 18: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 94%, Oct 19: 94%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 97%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 96%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 94%, Oct 19: 95%, Oct 19: 66%, Oct 19: 70%, Oct 19: 75%, Oct 19: 79%, Oct 19: 82%, Oct 19: 85%, Oct 19: 91%, Oct 19: 91%, Oct 19: 91%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 19: 93%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 19: 92%, Oct 20: 92%, Oct 20: 93%, Oct 20: 89%, Oct 20: 89%, Now: 89%

The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22 on Polymarket

89% — Real money is repricing this.

89%
Implied
$720.3k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 89% probability of YES (down 6 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.