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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” a 14% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $52.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 8, 2028. A YES price of 14% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

14¢

up 1 point 24h

NO

86¢

24h volume

$52.2k

Open interest

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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket
as of Oct 9, 2026

YES probability for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" moved from 14% to 14% across 51 points. Current 14%. Data points: Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 15%, Oct 5: 16%, Oct 5: 16%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 5: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Oct 6: 14%, Now: 14%

The WeeBet Angle

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election on Polymarket

14% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

14%
Implied
$52.2k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 14% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.