What are the odds of Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 42% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketSports

☆ Watch

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” a 42% chance of resolving YES. $2.51M has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 20, 2026. A YES price of 42% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

42¢

58¢

24h volume

$2.51M

Open interest

—

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

as of Jul 17, 2026

42%

−1 pts(24h)

+24 pts(7d)

Rising momentum

YES probability for "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" moved from 11% to 42% across 1438 points. Current 42%. Data points: Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 11%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 17: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 13%, Jun 18: 13%, Jun 18: 13%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 18: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 19: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, Jun 20: 12%, 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42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 16: 42%, Jul 17: 42%, Jul 17: 42%, Jul 17: 42%, Now: 42%

The WeeBet Angle

Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Polymarket

42% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

42%

Implied

$2.51M

Liquidity

+24pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??: As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 42% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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