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Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” a 17% chance of resolving YES. $658.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 20, 2026. A YES price of 17% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

17¢

NO

83¢

24h volume

$658.6k

Open interest

YES price · today19% ─ 15%
Implied probability
17%
24h move
flat
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
17%

Priced at 17% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 17% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.