US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?” a 93% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $449.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 13, 2026. A YES price of 93% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
93¢
down 3 points 24h
NO
7¢
24h volume
$449.3k
Open interest
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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
PolymarketYES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?" moved from 94% to 93% across 87 points. Current 93%. Data points: Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 7: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 91%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 92%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 93%, Oct 8: 96%, Oct 8: 97%, Oct 8: 96%, Oct 8: 96%, Oct 8: 96%, Oct 8: 97%, Oct 8: 96%, Oct 8: 95%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 8: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 96%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 96%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 95%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 94%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 93%, Oct 9: 90%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 91%, Oct 9: 93%, Now: 93%
The WeeBet Angle
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12 on Polymarket
93% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 93% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.