Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?” a 90% chance of resolving YES, up 44 points over the past 24 hours. $55.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 17, 2026. A YES price of 90% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
90¢
up 44 points 24h
NO
10¢
24h volume
$55.5k
Open interest
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Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?" moved from 78% to 90% across 13 points. Current 90%. Data points: Oct 13: 78%, Oct 13: 82%, Oct 13: 85%, Oct 13: 85%, Oct 13: 85%, Oct 13: 90%, Oct 14: 87%, Oct 14: 89%, Oct 14: 90%, Oct 14: 90%, Oct 14: 90%, Oct 14: 90%, Now: 90%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 90%
- 24h move
- +44 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 90%
Moved up 44 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 90% probability of YES (up 44 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 17, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.