Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?” a 92% chance of resolving YES, up 30 points over the past 24 hours. $63.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 13, 2026. A YES price of 92% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
92¢
up 30 points 24h
NO
8¢
24h volume
$63.3k
Open interest
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Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?" moved from 88% to 92% across 10 points. Current 92%. Data points: Oct 1: 88%, Oct 1: 88%, Oct 2: 88%, Oct 2: 88%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 92%, Oct 2: 92%, Now: 92%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 92%
- 24h move
- +30 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 92%
Moved up 30 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 92% probability of YES (up 30 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.