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US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?” a 30% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $60.1k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 30% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

30¢

down 3 points 24h

NO

70¢

24h volume

$60.1k

Open interest

—

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Polymarket
as of Oct 24, 2026

YES probability for "US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?" moved from 31% to 30% across 8 points. Current 30%. Data points: Oct 20: 31%, Oct 20: 31%, Oct 20: 31%, Oct 20: 31%, Oct 20: 31%, Oct 20: 30%, Oct 20: 30%, Now: 30%

The WeeBet Angle

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31 on Polymarket

30% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

30%
Implied
$60.1k
Liquidity
−19pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 30% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.