Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?” a 51% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $373.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 1, 2026. A YES price of 51% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
51¢
up 3 points 24h
NO
49¢
24h volume
$373.2k
Open interest
—
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?" moved from 47% to 51% across 78 points. Current 51%. Data points: Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 47%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 48%, Sep 30: 49%, Sep 30: 49%, Sep 30: 49%, Sep 30: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 48%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 49%, Oct 1: 51%, Now: 51%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 51%
- 24h move
- +3 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 51%
Priced at 51% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 51% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.