Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?” a 85% chance of resolving YES, up 16 points over the past 24 hours. $936.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 1, 2026. A YES price of 85% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
85¢
up 16 points 24h
NO
15¢
24h volume
$936.7k
Open interest
—
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?" moved from 67% to 85% across 60 points. Current 85%. Data points: Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 66%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 66%, Sep 30: 66%, Sep 30: 66%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 67%, Sep 30: 68%, Sep 30: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 67%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 85%, Now: 85%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 85%
- 24h move
- +16 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 85%
Moved up 16 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Norway win on 2026-10-01??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 85% probability of YES (up 16 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Norway win on 2026-10-01??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.