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Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Israel closes its airspace by September 30?” a 70% chance of resolving YES, up 13 points over the past 24 hours. $549.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 1, 2026. A YES price of 70% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

70¢

up 13 points 24h

NO

30¢

24h volume

$549.3k

Open interest

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

Polymarket
as of Sep 5, 2026

YES probability for "Israel closes its airspace by September 30?" moved from 5% to 70% across 166 points. Current 70%. Data points: Sep 1: 5%, Sep 1: 6%, Sep 1: 12%, Sep 1: 8%, Sep 1: 10%, Sep 1: 8%, Sep 1: 9%, Sep 1: 10%, Sep 1: 10%, Sep 1: 10%, Sep 1: 10%, Sep 1: 9%, Sep 1: 9%, Sep 2: 9%, Sep 2: 9%, Sep 2: 9%, Sep 2: 9%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 7%, Sep 2: 8%, Sep 2: 17%, Sep 2: 14%, Sep 2: 13%, Sep 2: 13%, Sep 2: 12%, Sep 2: 12%, Sep 2: 11%, Sep 2: 11%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 2: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 13%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 12%, Sep 3: 12%, Sep 3: 12%, Sep 3: 12%, Sep 3: 12%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 9%, Sep 3: 11%, Sep 3: 13%, Sep 3: 13%, Sep 3: 13%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 3: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 11%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 9%, Sep 4: 10%, Sep 4: 13%, Sep 4: 20%, Sep 4: 27%, Sep 4: 67%, Sep 4: 56%, Sep 4: 51%, Sep 4: 58%, Sep 4: 45%, Sep 4: 38%, Sep 4: 38%, Sep 4: 39%, Sep 4: 38%, Sep 5: 40%, Sep 5: 46%, Sep 5: 53%, Sep 5: 62%, Sep 5: 73%, Sep 5: 70%, Sep 5: 71%, Sep 5: 73%, Sep 5: 75%, Sep 5: 74%, Sep 5: 67%, Sep 5: 73%, Sep 5: 74%, Sep 5: 70%, Sep 5: 64%, Sep 5: 65%, Sep 5: 56%, Sep 5: 67%, Sep 5: 65%, Sep 5: 65%, Sep 5: 65%, Sep 5: 70%, Sep 5: 68%, Sep 5: 69%, Sep 5: 70%, Sep 5: 70%, Sep 5: 67%, Sep 5: 68%, Sep 5: 71%, Sep 5: 73%, Sep 5: 71%, Sep 5: 71%, Sep 5: 71%, Sep 5: 72%, Sep 5: 72%, Sep 5: 64%, Sep 5: 69%, Sep 5: 68%, Sep 5: 69%, Sep 5: 70%, Now: 70%

The WeeBet Angle

Israel closes its airspace by September 30 on Polymarket

70% Major repricing — something changed; check the news.

70%
Implied
$549.3k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Israel closes its airspace by September 30??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 70% probability of YES (up 13 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Israel closes its airspace by September 30??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.