What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.

Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $55.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 15, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

1¢

99¢

24h volume

$55.4k

Open interest

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Polymarket

as of Aug 31, 2026

1%

0 pts(24h)

−1 pts(7d)

Slight downtick

YES probability for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?" moved from 8% to 1% across 301 points. Current 1%. Data points: Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 9%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 13: 8%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 4%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 17: 3%, Aug 18: 3%, Aug 18: 3%, Aug 18: 3%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 18: 4%, Aug 20: 2%, Aug 23: 2%, Aug 24: 2%, Aug 25: 2%, Aug 25: 2%, Aug 25: 2%, Aug 25: 2%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 25: 3%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 25: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 4%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 3%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 26: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 2%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 27: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 2%, Aug 28: 2%, Aug 28: 2%, Aug 28: 2%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 28: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 29: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Aug 30: 1%, Now: 1%

The WeeBet Angle

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15 on Polymarket

1% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

Implied

$55.4k

Liquidity

−1pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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