US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?” a 5% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $128.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on August 18, 2026. A YES price of 5% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
5¢
down 2 points 24h
NO
95¢
24h volume
$128.2k
Open interest
—
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?" moved from 19% to 5% across 152 points. Current 5%. Data points: Jul 4: 19%, Jul 5: 19%, Jul 7: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 13%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 13%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 12%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 10%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 8: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 11%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 9: 9%, Jul 12: 9%, Jul 12: 9%, Jul 12: 9%, Jul 12: 9%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 7%, Jul 12: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 6%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 4%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 13: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Jul 14: 5%, Now: 5%
The WeeBet Angle
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026 on Polymarket
5% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
Trade this market
WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.
Open on Polymarket →- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
FAQ
- What are the odds of US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 5% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on August 18, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.