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Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?” a 54% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $728.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 30, 2026. A YES price of 54% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

54¢

down 3 points 24h

NO

46¢

24h volume

$728.6k

Open interest

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Polymarket
as of Jun 18, 2026

YES probability for "Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?" moved from 69% to 54% across 79 points. Current 54%. Data points: Jun 16: 69%, Jun 16: 69%, Jun 16: 69%, Jun 17: 70%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 74%, Jun 17: 74%, Jun 17: 73%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 73%, Jun 17: 73%, Jun 17: 73%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 72%, Jun 17: 71%, Jun 17: 68%, Jun 17: 69%, Jun 17: 70%, Jun 17: 69%, Jun 17: 74%, Jun 17: 68%, Jun 17: 55%, Jun 17: 54%, Jun 17: 46%, Jun 17: 55%, Jun 17: 70%, Jun 17: 62%, Jun 17: 65%, Jun 17: 65%, Jun 17: 65%, Jun 18: 63%, Jun 18: 62%, Jun 18: 64%, Jun 18: 78%, Jun 18: 84%, Jun 18: 77%, Jun 18: 81%, Jun 18: 81%, Jun 18: 79%, Jun 18: 75%, Jun 18: 75%, Jun 18: 75%, Jun 18: 77%, Jun 18: 85%, Jun 18: 88%, Jun 18: 89%, Jun 18: 90%, Jun 18: 92%, Jun 18: 91%, Jun 18: 87%, Jun 18: 89%, Jun 18: 91%, Jun 18: 86%, Jun 18: 89%, Jun 18: 82%, Jun 18: 84%, Jun 18: 84%, Jun 18: 80%, Jun 18: 80%, Jun 18: 77%, Jun 18: 79%, Jun 18: 75%, Jun 18: 78%, Jun 18: 75%, Jun 18: 77%, Jun 18: 79%, Jun 18: 74%, Jun 18: 69%, Jun 18: 60%, Jun 18: 54%, Now: 54%

The WeeBet Angle

Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 on Polymarket

54% Drifting on a well-backed number.

54%
Implied
$728.6k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 54% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.