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Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?” a 26% chance of resolving YES, up 20 points over the past 24 hours. $219.0k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 15, 2026. A YES price of 26% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

26¢

up 20 points 24h

NO

74¢

24h volume

$219.0k

Open interest

YES price · last 5 days29% ─ 6%
Implied probability
26%
24h move
+20 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
26%

Moved up 20 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026??
As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 26% probability of YES (up 20 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on June 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.