Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” a 47% chance of resolving YES, up 20 points over the past 24 hours. $495.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 31, 2026. A YES price of 47% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
47¢
up 20 points 24h
NO
53¢
24h volume
$495.7k
Open interest
—
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 47%
- 24h move
- +20 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 47%
Moved up 20 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31??
- As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 47% probability of YES (up 20 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.