Iran leadership change by December 31?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Iran leadership change by December 31?” a 12% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $79.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 12% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
12¢
down 2 points 24h
NO
88¢
24h volume
$79.7k
Open interest
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Iran leadership change by December 31?
PolymarketYES probability for "Iran leadership change by December 31?" moved from 10% to 12% across 114 points. Current 12%. Data points: Sep 25: 10%, Sep 25: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 11%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 10%, Sep 26: 12%, Sep 26: 12%, Sep 26: 12%, Sep 26: 12%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 2: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 3: 11%, Oct 5: 11%, Oct 5: 11%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 6: 12%, Oct 21: 15%, Oct 21: 15%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 14%, Oct 21: 11%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 12%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 21: 13%, Oct 22: 13%, Oct 22: 13%, Oct 22: 13%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Oct 22: 12%, Now: 12%
The WeeBet Angle
Iran leadership change by December 31 on Polymarket
12% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Iran leadership change by December 31??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 12% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Iran leadership change by December 31??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.