Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” a 5% chance of resolving YES, down 66 points over the past 24 hours. $703.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 5, 2026. A YES price of 5% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
5¢
down 66 points 24h
NO
95¢
24h volume
$703.8k
Open interest
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" moved from 87% to 5% across 205 points. Current 5%. Data points: Sep 4: 87%, Sep 4: 88%, Sep 4: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 88%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 5: 89%, Sep 16: 75%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 16: 76%, Sep 18: 76%, Sep 18: 76%, Sep 18: 77%, Sep 28: 76%, Sep 28: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 77%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 29: 76%, Sep 30: 72%, Sep 30: 71%, Sep 30: 72%, Sep 30: 69%, Sep 30: 67%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 66%, Oct 1: 68%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 69%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 70%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 73%, Oct 1: 73%, Oct 1: 73%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 71%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 1: 72%, Oct 2: 72%, Oct 2: 72%, Oct 2: 72%, Oct 2: 77%, Oct 2: 77%, Oct 2: 77%, Oct 2: 76%, Oct 2: 77%, Oct 2: 75%, Oct 2: 75%, Oct 2: 75%, Oct 2: 74%, Oct 2: 76%, Oct 3: 76%, Oct 3: 76%, Oct 3: 76%, Oct 3: 76%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 75%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 74%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 71%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 72%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 73%, Oct 3: 71%, Oct 3: 71%, Oct 3: 58%, Oct 3: 66%, Oct 4: 61%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 60%, Oct 4: 59%, Oct 4: 61%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 59%, Oct 4: 60%, Oct 4: 59%, Oct 4: 59%, Oct 4: 60%, Oct 4: 61%, Oct 4: 60%, Oct 4: 61%, Oct 4: 61%, Oct 4: 62%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 63%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 67%, Oct 4: 68%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 65%, Oct 4: 67%, Oct 4: 71%, Oct 4: 72%, Oct 4: 70%, Oct 4: 71%, Oct 4: 66%, Oct 4: 67%, Oct 4: 64%, Oct 4: 17%, Oct 4: 12%, Oct 4: 5%, Now: 5%
The WeeBet Angle
Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election on Polymarket
5% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 5% probability of YES (down 66 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.