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Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

As of September 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” a 19% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $489.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on September 20, 2026. A YES price of 19% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

19¢

down 3 points 24h

NO

82¢

24h volume

$489.7k

Open interest

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Polymarket
as of Sep 20, 2026

YES probability for "Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?" moved from 26% to 19% across 361 points. Current 19%. Data points: Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 27%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 25%, Aug 31: 26%, Aug 31: 24%, Aug 31: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 25%, Sep 1: 25%, Sep 1: 23%, Sep 1: 23%, Sep 1: 23%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 24%, Sep 1: 23%, Sep 7: 26%, Sep 7: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 25%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 26%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 21%, Sep 8: 22%, Sep 8: 22%, Sep 8: 22%, Sep 8: 22%, Sep 8: 22%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 8: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 22%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 23%, Sep 9: 21%, Sep 9: 21%, Sep 9: 21%, Sep 11: 16%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 13: 17%, Sep 15: 20%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 18%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 19%, Sep 15: 20%, Sep 15: 20%, Sep 15: 27%, Sep 15: 24%, Sep 15: 22%, Sep 15: 23%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 23%, Sep 15: 22%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 22%, Sep 15: 22%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 15: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 21%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 20%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 24%, Sep 16: 25%, Sep 16: 25%, Sep 16: 25%, Sep 16: 24%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 23%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 16: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 22%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 23%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 21%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 17: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 20%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 18%, Sep 18: 18%, Sep 18: 18%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 18%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 19%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 18: 18%, Sep 18: 17%, Sep 19: 17%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 23%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 21%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 23%, Sep 19: 23%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 21%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 19: 23%, Sep 19: 23%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 24%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 25%, Sep 19: 16%, Sep 19: 16%, Sep 19: 18%, Sep 19: 18%, Sep 19: 18%, Sep 19: 20%, Sep 19: 17%, Sep 19: 18%, Sep 19: 18%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 20%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 19%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 17%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 18%, Sep 20: 19%, Now: 19%

The WeeBet Angle

New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election on Polymarket

19% Drifting on a well-backed number.

19%
Implied
$489.7k
Liquidity
+2pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??
As of September 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 19% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.