Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?
As of July 2026, Kalshi traders give “Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $10.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 14, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Kalshi before trading.
YES
1¢
NO
98¢
24h volume
$10.8k
Open interest
$175.8k
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?
KalshiYES probability for "Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?" moved from 26% to 1% across 133 points. Current 1%. Data points: Jun 10: 26%, Jun 10: 26%, Jun 10: 29%, Jun 10: 29%, Jun 11: 36%, Jun 11: 30%, Jun 11: 33%, Jun 11: 40%, Jun 11: 48%, Jun 11: 48%, Jun 11: 40%, Jun 11: 41%, Jun 11: 35%, Jun 11: 35%, Jun 11: 39%, Jun 12: 35%, Jun 12: 45%, Jun 12: 30%, Jun 12: 28%, Jun 12: 28%, Jun 12: 28%, Jun 12: 23%, Jun 13: 23%, Jun 13: 21%, Jun 13: 21%, Jun 14: 21%, Jun 14: 18%, Jun 15: 7%, Jun 15: 15%, Jun 15: 7%, Jun 16: 5%, Jun 16: 8%, Jun 16: 6%, Jun 17: 5%, Jun 17: 5%, Jun 17: 7%, Jun 17: 7%, Jun 17: 10%, Jun 18: 8%, Jun 19: 17%, Jun 19: 19%, Jun 19: 10%, Jun 20: 8%, Jun 20: 8%, Jun 20: 8%, Jun 20: 8%, Jun 20: 10%, Jun 21: 10%, Jun 21: 10%, Jun 21: 7%, Jun 21: 7%, Jun 21: 7%, Jun 21: 15%, Jun 22: 11%, Jun 22: 11%, Jun 22: 23%, Jun 22: 21%, Jun 22: 18%, Jun 22: 19%, Jun 22: 19%, Jun 22: 20%, Jun 22: 12%, Jun 22: 7%, Jun 22: 7%, Jun 22: 6%, Jun 22: 7%, Jun 22: 6%, Jun 22: 4%, Jun 22: 4%, Jun 23: 4%, Jun 23: 4%, Jun 23: 4%, Jun 23: 2%, Jun 23: 6%, Jun 23: 6%, Jun 23: 6%, Jun 23: 4%, Jun 23: 4%, Jun 23: 3%, Jun 24: 2%, Jun 24: 2%, Jun 24: 2%, Jun 24: 2%, Jun 25: 1%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 25: 3%, Jun 25: 3%, Jun 25: 2%, Jun 26: 2%, Jun 26: 2%, Jun 26: 2%, Jun 26: 1%, Jun 26: 2%, Jun 26: 2%, Jun 26: 1%, Jun 27: 2%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 27: 4%, Jun 28: 5%, Jun 28: 5%, Jun 29: 7%, Jun 29: 7%, Jun 29: 7%, Jun 29: 4%, Jun 29: 3%, Jun 29: 5%, Jun 29: 4%, Jun 30: 4%, Jun 30: 5%, Jun 30: 3%, Jul 6: 2%, Jul 6: 2%, Jul 6: 2%, Jul 6: 2%, Jul 7: 1%, Jul 7: 1%, Jul 8: 1%, Jul 9: 1%, Jul 9: 1%, Jul 9: 1%, Jul 9: 1%, Now: 1%
The WeeBet Angle
the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026 on Kalshi
1% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Kalshi implies a 1% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026??
- This contract trades on Kalshi. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on July 14, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.