What are the odds of Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 21% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).

Where can I trade Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.

When does this market resolve

It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

PolymarketCrypto

☆ Watch

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?” a 21% chance of resolving YES, down 1 point over the past 24 hours. $469.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 21% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

21¢

down 1 point 24h

79¢

24h volume

$469.8k

Open interest

—

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket

as of Aug 18, 2026

21%

−1 pts(24h)

−4 pts(7d)

Falling momentum

YES probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?" moved from 28% to 21% across 196 points. Current 21%. Data points: Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 28%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 26%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 25%, Jul 30: 23%, Jul 31: 23%, Jul 31: 23%, Jul 31: 24%, Jul 31: 24%, Jul 31: 24%, Jul 31: 24%, Aug 1: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 24%, Aug 3: 24%, Aug 3: 24%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 3: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 24%, Aug 4: 26%, Aug 4: 26%, Aug 4: 26%, Aug 4: 26%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 4: 25%, Aug 16: 21%, Aug 16: 21%, Aug 16: 21%, Aug 16: 23%, Aug 16: 23%, Aug 16: 23%, Aug 16: 23%, Aug 16: 23%, Aug 16: 24%, Aug 16: 24%, Aug 16: 25%, Aug 16: 25%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 16: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 26%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 24%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 23%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 22%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 20%, Aug 17: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 22%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Aug 18: 21%, Now: 21%

The WeeBet Angle

Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket

21% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

21%

Implied

$469.8k

Liquidity

−4pts

7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026??: As of August 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 21% probability of YES (down 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026??: This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?: It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.

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