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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “China x Philippines military clash before 2027?” a 58% chance of resolving YES, up 47 points over the past 24 hours. $621.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 58% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

58¢

up 47 points 24h

NO

42¢

24h volume

$621.8k

Open interest

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Polymarket
as of Jul 21, 2026

YES probability for "China x Philippines military clash before 2027?" moved from 14% to 58% across 69 points. Current 58%. Data points: Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 15%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 23: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 15%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jun 24: 14%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 15: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 16: 11%, Jul 20: 24%, Jul 20: 45%, Jul 20: 50%, Jul 20: 42%, Jul 20: 39%, Jul 20: 64%, Jul 20: 66%, Jul 20: 63%, Jul 20: 62%, Jul 20: 58%, Now: 58%

The WeeBet Angle

China x Philippines military clash before 2027 on Polymarket

58% Major repricing — something changed; check the news.

58%
Implied
$621.8k
Liquidity
+44pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 58% probability of YES (up 47 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.