Spread: Bears (-2.5)
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Spread: Bears (-2.5)” a 55% chance of resolving YES. $559.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 23, 2026. A YES price of 55% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
55¢
NO
45¢
24h volume
$559.5k
Open interest
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Spread: Bears (-2.5)
PolymarketYES probability for "Spread: Bears (-2.5)" moved from 53% to 55% across 15 points. Current 55%. Data points: Oct 22: 53%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 54%, Oct 22: 55%, Oct 22: 55%, Oct 22: 55%, Oct 22: 55%, Oct 23: 55%, Now: 55%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 55%
- 24h move
- flat
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 55%
Priced at 55% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Spread: Bears (-2.5)?
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 55% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Spread: Bears (-2.5)?
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.