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Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?” a 54% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $384.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 4, 2026. A YES price of 54% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

54¢

up 1 point 24h

NO

46¢

24h volume

$384.2k

Open interest

—

Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?

Polymarket
as of Oct 4, 2026

YES probability for "Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?" moved from 54% to 54% across 26 points. Current 54%. Data points: Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 55%, Oct 4: 55%, Oct 4: 55%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 53%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Oct 4: 54%, Now: 54%

The WeeBet Angle

Germany win on 2026-10-04 on Polymarket

54% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

54%
Implied
$384.2k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Germany win on 2026-10-04??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 54% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Germany win on 2026-10-04??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.