Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will United States win on 2026-07-06?” a 36% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $918.0k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 7, 2026. A YES price of 36% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
36¢
up 1 point 24h
NO
64¢
24h volume
$918.0k
Open interest
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Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will United States win on 2026-07-06?" moved from 34% to 36% across 64 points. Current 36%. Data points: Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 33%, Jul 4: 33%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 35%, Jul 4: 35%, Jul 4: 35%, Jul 4: 35%, Jul 4: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 35%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 38%, Jul 5: 39%, Jul 5: 39%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 36%, Jul 5: 36%, Now: 36%
The WeeBet Angle
United States win on 2026-07-06 on Polymarket
36% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will United States win on 2026-07-06??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 36% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will United States win on 2026-07-06??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on July 7, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.