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Spread: United States (-1.5)

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Spread: United States (-1.5)” a 45% chance of resolving YES. $579.0k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 2, 2026. A YES price of 45% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

45¢

NO

55¢

24h volume

$579.0k

Open interest

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Polymarket
as of Jul 1, 2026

YES probability for "Spread: United States (-1.5)" moved from 45% to 45% across 13 points. Current 45%. Data points: Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Jul 1: 45%, Now: 45%

The WeeBet Angle

Spread: United States (-1.5) on Polymarket

45% Drifting on a well-backed number.

45%
Implied
$579.0k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Spread: United States (-1.5)?
As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 45% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Spread: United States (-1.5)?
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on July 2, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.