Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?” a 18% chance of resolving YES, down 44 points over the past 24 hours. $163.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 18% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
18¢
down 44 points 24h
NO
82¢
24h volume
$163.9k
Open interest
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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?" moved from 19% to 18% across 34 points. Current 18%. Data points: Jul 7: 19%, Jul 7: 18%, Jul 7: 18%, Jul 7: 19%, Jul 7: 19%, Jul 7: 17%, Jul 8: 17%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 16%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 18%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 19%, Jul 8: 18%, Now: 18%
The WeeBet Angle
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026 on Polymarket
18% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 18% probability of YES (down 44 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.