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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?” a 51% chance of resolving YES, down 26 points over the past 24 hours. $71.8k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on December 31, 2026. A YES price of 51% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

51¢

down 26 points 24h

NO

49¢

24h volume

$71.8k

Open interest

—

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Polymarket
as of Oct 24, 2026

YES probability for "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?" moved from 56% to 51% across 24 points. Current 51%. Data points: Oct 1: 56%, Oct 1: 56%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 54%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 55%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 52%, Oct 1: 52%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 53%, Oct 1: 51%, Now: 51%

Implied probability
51%
24h move
-26 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
51%

Moved down 26 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.

This market is closed

Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 51% probability of YES (down 26 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.