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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?” a 4% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $537.4k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 15, 2026. A YES price of 4% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
4¢
down 3 points 24h
NO
96¢
24h volume
$537.4k
Open interest
—
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 4%
- 24h move
- -3 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 4%
Priced at 4% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
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resolves 5dTrade on Polymarket ↗
FAQ
- What are the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15??
- As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 4% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on June 15, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.