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UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)” a 64% chance of resolving YES, down 2 points over the past 24 hours. $581.1k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 12, 2026. A YES price of 64% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

64¢

down 2 points 24h

NO

36¢

24h volume

$581.1k

Open interest

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Polymarket
as of Jul 8, 2026

YES probability for "UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)" moved from 67% to 64% across 185 points. Current 64%. Data points: Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 67%, Jun 28: 66%, Jun 28: 66%, Jun 28: 66%, Jul 1: 65%, Jul 1: 65%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 65%, Jul 1: 65%, Jul 1: 66%, Jul 1: 66%, Jul 1: 66%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 66%, Jul 1: 66%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 1: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 66%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 2: 67%, Jul 5: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 67%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 66%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 6: 65%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 65%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 66%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 7: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 67%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 66%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 64%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 65%, Jul 8: 64%, Now: 64%

The WeeBet Angle

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) on Polymarket

64% Drifting on a well-backed number.

64%
Implied
$581.1k
Liquidity
−2pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)?
As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 64% probability of YES (down 2 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)?
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on July 12, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.