Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
As of July 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” a 38% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $166.1k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on July 20, 2026. A YES price of 38% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
38¢
up 3 points 24h
NO
62¢
24h volume
$166.1k
Open interest
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Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" moved from 36% to 38% across 185 points. Current 38%. Data points: Jun 22: 36%, Jun 22: 38%, Jun 22: 37%, Jun 22: 32%, Jun 22: 34%, Jun 22: 36%, Jun 23: 32%, Jun 23: 33%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 33%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 35%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 23: 34%, Jun 28: 51%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 51%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 52%, Jun 28: 52%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 40%, Jul 4: 41%, Jul 4: 40%, Jul 4: 40%, Jul 4: 40%, Jul 4: 40%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 38%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 36%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 36%, Jul 4: 34%, Jul 4: 37%, Jul 4: 39%, Jul 4: 31%, Jul 4: 36%, Jul 5: 36%, Jul 5: 36%, Jul 5: 36%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 36%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 5: 37%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 32%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 33%, Jul 6: 35%, Jul 6: 34%, Jul 6: 34%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 34%, Jul 7: 34%, Jul 7: 34%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 33%, Jul 7: 34%, Jul 7: 34%, Jul 7: 14%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 38%, Jul 7: 38%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 38%, Jul 7: 37%, Jul 7: 39%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 39%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 39%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 39%, Jul 8: 39%, Jul 8: 39%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Jul 8: 38%, Now: 38%
The WeeBet Angle
Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Polymarket
38% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup??
- As of July 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 38% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.