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Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?” a 7% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $71.9k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 7% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

7¢

up 1 point 24h

NO

93¢

24h volume

$71.9k

Open interest

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Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
as of Oct 15, 2026

YES probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?" moved from 4% to 7% across 124 points. Current 7%. Data points: Sep 22: 4%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 6%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 22: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 5%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 23: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Oct 8: 4%, Oct 8: 4%, Oct 8: 4%, Oct 8: 4%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 5%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 7%, Oct 8: 7%, Oct 8: 8%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 8%, Oct 8: 8%, Oct 8: 8%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 8%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 6%, Oct 9: 6%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Oct 9: 7%, Now: 7%

The WeeBet Angle

Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket

7% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

7%
Implied
$71.9k
Liquidity
+1pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 7% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.