Politics · Midterms
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
As of November 2026, Polymarket traders give this a 76% chance (up 6 points in the last 24 hours). It's the money-weighted, market-implied probability — updated continuously. A YES price of 76% is a probability, not a guarantee.
Polymarket · implied probability
76%
Where to trade this market
Take either side on a prediction market — Polymarket globally, or Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) in the US. WeeBet surfaces the live price and links you out; we don't accept wagers. Affiliate disclosure.
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More 2026 US Midterm Elections questions
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House19%
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House5%
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94%
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?6%
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?77%
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?25%
FAQ
What does a 76% chance mean here?
76% is the market-implied probability — the price traders are paying for the YES contract, read as a percentage. It reflects real money at stake, updates continuously, and is a probability, not a guarantee.
Where can I trade "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House"?
This contract trades on Polymarket. Prediction markets like Polymarket (global; Polymarket US in most US states) and Kalshi (CFTC-regulated, US) let you take either side. WeeBet surfaces the live price and links you out — we don't accept wagers.
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