PolymarketPolitics☆ Watch
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
As of June 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?” a 20% chance of resolving YES, down 3 points over the past 24 hours. $340.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on June 21, 2026. A YES price of 20% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
20¢
down 3 points 24h
NO
80¢
24h volume
$340.2k
Open interest
—
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 20%
- 24h move
- -3 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 20%
Priced at 20% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election??
- As of June 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 20% probability of YES (down 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on June 21, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.