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Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $66.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on April 19, 2027. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

1¢

NO

99¢

24h volume

$66.7k

Open interest

—

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket
as of Oct 24, 2026

YES probability for "Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?" moved from 1% to 1% across 119 points. Current 1%. Data points: Oct 4: 1%, Oct 4: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 2%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 15: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Oct 16: 1%, Now: 1%

Implied probability
1%
24h move
-0 pts
Liquidity
Deep
Fair value
1%

Priced at 1% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.

This market is closed

Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.