Prediction Markets
Politics odds
As of October 2026, these are the most active politics prediction markets — elections, nominations, and policy outcomes — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$74k
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$107k
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$237k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10%YES▬
resolves 24dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$49k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
63%YES▬
resolves 24dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$118k
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$67k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
37%YES▲1
resolves 24dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$76k
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$63k
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$55k
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$88k
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$51k
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$51k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$80k
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$67k
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$102k
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$122k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$127k
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$878k
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0%YES▼1
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$103k
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$239k
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina
0%YES▼50
resolves 1dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$105k
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$163k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3%YES▼1
resolves 3moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$119k
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$86k
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$115k
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$64k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
41%YES▼2
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$68k
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$221k
UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)
100%YES▲75
resolves todayTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$58k
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$90k
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0%YES▬
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$182k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$100k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
36%YES▼2
resolves 24dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$62k
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%YES▬
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$52k
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%YES▬
resolves 6moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$52k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14%YES▲1
resolves 25moTrade on Polymarket ↗