Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” a 20% chance of resolving YES, up 3 points over the past 24 hours. $53.5k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on November 8, 2028. A YES price of 20% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
20¢
up 3 points 24h
NO
80¢
24h volume
$53.5k
Open interest
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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" moved from 21% to 20% across 134 points. Current 20%. Data points: Oct 4: 21%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 4: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 20%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 5: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 21%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 11: 20%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 16%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 17%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 19%, Oct 11: 20%, Oct 11: 20%, Oct 11: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Oct 12: 20%, Now: 20%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 20%
- 24h move
- +3 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 20%
Priced at 20% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 20% probability of YES (up 3 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.