Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?” a 1% chance of resolving YES, down 5 points over the past 24 hours. $191.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 9, 2026. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
1¢
down 5 points 24h
NO
100¢
24h volume
$191.3k
Open interest
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Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?" moved from 17% to 1% across 39 points. Current 1%. Data points: Oct 8: 17%, Oct 8: 24%, Oct 8: 27%, Oct 8: 30%, Oct 8: 31%, Oct 8: 27%, Oct 8: 25%, Oct 8: 27%, Oct 8: 26%, Oct 8: 26%, Oct 8: 25%, Oct 8: 25%, Oct 8: 28%, Oct 8: 30%, Oct 8: 33%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 35%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 31%, Oct 8: 24%, Oct 8: 28%, Oct 8: 37%, Oct 8: 36%, Oct 8: 25%, Oct 8: 27%, Oct 8: 18%, Oct 8: 20%, Oct 8: 22%, Oct 8: 11%, Oct 8: 9%, Oct 8: 10%, Oct 8: 11%, Oct 8: 13%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Now: 1%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 1%
- 24h move
- -5 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 1%
Priced at 1% with deep liquidity and no major disagreement across venues — a settled, well-backed number.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 1% probability of YES (down 5 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on October 9, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.